Bhp Group Limited Stock Performance

BHP Stock  USD 76.82  1.75  2.33%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, BHP Group holds a performance score of 26. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.84, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, BHP Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BHP Group is expected to be smaller as well. Please check BHP Group's sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether BHP Group's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BHP Group Limited are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively conflicting technical indicators, BHP Group reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.33
Five Day Return
7.29
Year To Date Return
24.38
Ten Year Return
240.67
All Time Return
2.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0354
Payout Ratio
0.0204
Last Split Factor
1121:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
2.66
Dividend Date
2025-09-25
1
Morgan Stanley While waiting for Rio Tinto and Glencore to merge, buy BHP
02/02/2026
2
BHP share price why investors like materials shares
02/05/2026
3
Port Recovery and Copper Push Reshape BHP Groups Outlook
02/10/2026
4
Where to find annual DPS and current price for ASX stocks
02/12/2026
5
Brokers re-rate CBA and ANZ shares after banks stun the market
02/13/2026
6
Global Rebound Lifts ASX 200 Amid Oil Retreat and Wall Street Recovery
02/17/2026
7
Upgraded Copper Outlook And Antamina Silver Stream Could Be A Game Changer For BHP Group
02/18/2026
8
Is It Too Late To Consider BHP Group After Strong Five Year Share Gains
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow12.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-13.3 B

BHP Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,293  in BHP Group Limited on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,389  from holding BHP Group Limited or generate 45.14% return on investment over 90 days. BHP Group Limited is generating 0.6415% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9551% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than BHP, and above 88% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BHP Group is expected to generate 2.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.33 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

BHP Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of BHP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 76.82 90 days 76.82 
roughly 2.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BHP Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.17 (This BHP Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of BHP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BHP Group has a beta of 0.84 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BHP Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BHP Group Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BHP Group Limited has an alpha of 0.45, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BHP Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BHP Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BHP Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.8475.8077.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.1573.1184.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.2777.2379.18
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
57.2762.9369.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BHP Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BHP Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BHP Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BHP Group Limited.

BHP Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BHP Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BHP Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BHP Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BHP Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
6.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

BHP Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BHP Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BHP Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BHP Group Limited has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Too Late To Consider BHP Group After Strong Five Year Share Gains

BHP Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BHP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BHP Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BHP Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments12.2 B

BHP Group Fundamentals Growth

BHP Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BHP Group, and BHP Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BHP Stock performance.

About BHP Group Performance

Assessing BHP Group's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into BHP Group's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the BHP Group is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 39.38  60.71 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed(0.16)(0.15)
Return On Assets(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.27)(0.25)

Things to note about BHP Group Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about BHP Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BHP Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BHP Group Limited has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Too Late To Consider BHP Group After Strong Five Year Share Gains
Evaluating BHP Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate BHP Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing BHP Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BHP Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining BHP Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating BHP Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BHP Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BHP Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into BHP Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating BHP Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact BHP Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for BHP Stock Analysis

When running BHP Group's price analysis, check to measure BHP Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BHP Group is operating at the current time. Most of BHP Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BHP Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BHP Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BHP Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.